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Small Cap Stocks on Fire: Analyzing the Russell 2000

The Russell 2000 index making some serious waves.

By Paul Gabrail | Tuesday, August 13, 2024

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If you've been keeping an eye on the stock market lately, you might have noticed the Russell 2000 index making some serious waves. Over the past year, it's soared by a remarkable 11.64%. What's even more eye-catching is that a substantial chunk of that growth—11.15%—has occurred in just the last month alone. Clearly, small caps are having their moment in the sun.


In recent videos, I've often pointed out the disparity between large cap and small cap stocks, highlighting how money flowing into large caps was contributing to an overvalued market. Small cap stocks, typically valued between $250 million and $2 billion, seemed to be overlooked. However, historical data consistently shows that over the long haul, small caps tend to outperform their larger counterparts. Why? It often boils down to growth potential. Can a $250 million company more feasibly increase its value tenfold compared to a $25 billion giant? The answer appears evident.


From 1980 to 2020, studies indicate that small caps have outpaced large caps by an average of 1.6% annually. While that might not sound like much initially, over decades, it translates into substantial gains—something I often emphasize to my community.

Performance Comparison:

Let's delve into the numbers. Since 1995, the Russell 2000 has seen a total return of 71.2%, whereas the S&P 500 yielded only 10% (including dividends). This stark difference highlights the volatility and risk inherent in smaller, less diversified companies compared to larger, more stable entities. The Russell 2000 has historically lagged behind both the S&P 600 and the S&P 500 since the mid-2000s.

This disparity underscores the dynamic nature of small cap investments. They can offer higher growth potential but also come with increased risk. Currently, the dividend yield for the Russell 2000 stands at approximately 1.19%, slightly below the broader market's yield. This lower yield is typical among smaller companies that reinvest most of their earnings into growth rather than distributing them as dividends.


Considering this landscape, should you dive into small cap investments? The decision isn't straightforward. While historically they've shown promise, the recent past has favored large caps. This unpredictability is why I advocate for a diversified approach—perhaps a mix of small cap, mid cap, and large cap ETFs, allowing flexibility as market dynamics evolve.


For those intrigued by individual small cap stocks, caution is advised. Thorough research is essential because while these stocks offer significant upside potential, they also carry higher risks of failure.


Looking ahead, predicting market movements remains as elusive as ever. No one can definitively say where the market will head next. What we can do is understand historical trends and make informed decisions based on them.


If you're interested in exploring small cap investments further, I encourage you to consider ETFs over mutual funds for flexibility. ETFs won't force you to sell if a holding becomes too large, allowing you to ride winners longer—a critical advantage during market upswings.


In conclusion, while small caps have historically outperformed, market conditions can change rapidly. The key is to stay informed, diversify your investments, and have the stomach for market volatility. If you're looking to delve deeper into these strategies or explore specific stocks and ETFs, our community and tools are here to assist you.


Remember, investing isn't just about buying stocks; it's about having the right mindset and emotions for long-term success. Whether you choose small caps, large caps, or a balanced approach, the key is to stay disciplined and manage your emotions.


WATCH OUR YOUTUBE VIDEO ON THE SMALL CAP STOCK RALLY