Why I'm Excited About Buying Nike Stock
Nike's stock is trading at around $74 per share, a significant drop from its peak of $180.
By Paul Gabrail | Tuesday, July 16, 2024
Why I'm Excited About Buying Nike Stock
Hey everyone, today I want to talk about why I'm diving into Nike stock, despite its recent downtrend. Let me break down my thoughts and strategy for you.
The Current Situation
As of now, Nike's stock is trading at around $74 per share, a significant drop from its peak of $180 not too long ago in November 2021. That's a staggering 60% decline! For seasoned investors like myself, this kind of drop is actually exciting. It presents an opportunity to buy into a solid company at a discounted price.
Back in January, I identified Nike as one of the stocks I wanted to add to my portfolio once it hit the right valuation. Even if Nike doesn't show explosive growth from here, I'm comfortable paying around 17-18 times earnings for it. Currently, it's trading even lower, making it even more attractive.
Understanding the Recent Performance
Nike recently released its earnings report, which showed mixed results. While they beat earnings per share expectations, they missed on footwear revenue, which is a crucial segment for them. However, apparel revenue exceeded expectations, showing strength in other areas.
The stock's decline isn't just about recent performance metrics; it's also about market sentiment and competition. Other companies have been catching up in the athletic wear space, which has impacted Nike's stock price despite its strong brand presence.
Fundamentals and Financial Health
Looking at Nike's fundamentals, there's a lot to like. They have a $113 billion market cap and generated $6.2 billion in free cash flow last year. What's impressive is their manageable debt level, which they could pay off in just two years with their free cash flow alone. This strong balance sheet is a testament to Nike's stability and financial health.
Nike also pays a dividend, currently yielding 1.88%. While dividends are attractive, I believe that buying back shares at lower prices, if the stock continues to drop, could create more value for shareholders in the long run.
Market Position and Growth Potential
Despite recent challenges, Nike remains a powerhouse in the global sportswear market. They're making strategic moves to regain market share and innovate their product lines. This includes plans for new, more affordable shoe options, which could broaden their customer base, especially in growing markets like China.
Looking Ahead
As an investor, I see Nike as a long-term play. They have a strong brand, global reach, and a history of innovation. Looking at their financial projections and using tools like our stock analyzer, I estimate a potential range of $120 per share over the next decade, factoring in growth and market premium.
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Final Thoughts
Investing in stocks like Nike requires patience and a focus on the long-term potential rather than short-term fluctuations. I believe Nike has the fundamentals and strategic initiatives in place to rebound and grow over the coming years. As always, do your own research and consider your own investment strategy. If you're interested in learning more about how I analyze stocks and make investment decisions, check out our software and community by clicking here.
Remember, great companies like Nike often present their best buying opportunities when others are fearful. Stay informed, stay patient, and happy investing!
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